For today and tomorrow the Northstate will see a weak ridge continue to build in. So temps will remain in the low 80s with clear skies. The rest of the work week zonal flow will be our main pattern with temps in the upper 70s.
The main story of the next 7 days will be this weekend's system.
You will notice a strong trough/upper level low off to our west...this image is valid Saturday night. The trough will allow for some energy associated with vort maxs to rotate around this trough supplying the area with forcing needed for precip.
We should see enough forcing on the left exit region of this jet streak on Sunday morning to see precip in the valley floor.
The cold air associated with this upper level low will drop snow levels easily below 5000 feet and I would not be shocked to see it drop below 4000 feet.
As of right now the low fails to strengthen as much as I would expect with the upper level dynamics. We'll have to wait until we get closer to the event for the higher resolution models to begin to pick this up.
Depending on how quickly this upper level low moves out we could possibly see some thunderstorms Monday from the residual cold pool from the exiting trough.
